书籍 The Premonition的封面

The Premonition

Michael Lewis

出版时间

2021-05-03

ISBN

9780393881554

评分

★★★★★
书籍介绍

Fortunately, we are still a nation of skeptics. Fortunately, there are those among us who study pandemics and are willing to look unflinchingly at worst-case scenarios. Michael Lewis’s taut and brilliant nonfiction thriller pits a band of medical visionaries against the wall of ignorance that was the official response of the Trump administration to the outbreak of COVID-19.

The characters you will meet in these pages are as fascinating as they are unexpected. A thirteen-year-old girl’s science project on transmission of an airborne pathogen develops into a very grown-up model of disease control. A local public-health officer uses her worm’s-eye view to see what the CDC misses, and reveals great truths about American society. A secret team of dissenting doctors, nicknamed the Wolverines, has everything necessary to fight the pandemic: brilliant backgrounds, world-class labs, prior experience with the pandemic scares of bird flu and swine flu…everything, that is, except official permission to implement their work.

Michael Lewis is not shy about calling these people heroes for their refusal to follow directives that they know to be based on misinformation and bad science. Even the internet, as crucial as it is to their exchange of ideas, poses a risk to them. They never know for sure who else might be listening in.

Michael Lewis is the best-selling author of Liar’s Poker, Moneyball, The Blind Side, The Big Short, The Undoing Project, and The Fifth Risk. He lives in Berkeley, California, with his wife and three children. --This text refers to the hardcover edition.

用户评论
在这个崇拜企业家的社会里,人民公仆怕是只能通过建立公司融资来曲线救国了。但公共系统已经失能到如今这个程度,这一策略最终能帮到多少人也是个疑问。这个系统不奖励勇气和果决,即使CDC也曾勇敢果决过,但经历过上一次的打击,敢于出头的人越来越少,或者越来越难让true leaders emerge。报纸上,CDC仍然还是防疫的领导者,但缓慢且混乱的领导时刻在损耗着专家们的信誉 (有真的混乱也有人为制造的混乱)。这个公共系统还能修补吗?这个系统保持原样运作下去会走到大众不需要专家的一天吗?好奇那会是一个什么样的景象。
大战终至,无军更无帅,唯有曲突徙薪者奔走碰壁
美国的公共卫生系统真的支离破碎。才知道Fauci的正式职位是领导政府任命的task force,和CDC是独立的。然后呢,联邦政府/CDC的决策和每一个州的决策又是独立的。在这个破碎的系统最基层是每个county的公共卫生官员,像个平时没人听说的五品芝麻官,执行对的政策有很多阻力。 这本书不如作者很多其他的书来的好看。Lewis写书特别character driven,擅长刻画一些找到不为人知的线索,凭一己之力反抗conventional wisdom的小角色。这本书里面Lewis想用同样的手法刻画一些公共卫生官员。但是嘛,传染病的问题比什么高频交易啊次贷危机啊广泛太多了,一己之力改变不了什么;书里描写的人物不是说pick up了什么不为人知的线索,而是坚持常识保持警惕。
美国抗疫过程中少数既有才华又热忱的人无法克服政府官僚的僵化与无能
如同无伤大雅的小水花,总是困难于解释清楚,从哪儿开始,这就变成了后来的滔天巨浪。Michael Lewis 让我明白了。
这么乏味的主题写得如此引人入胜,实在是高明。抗疫幕后英雄群像。
真正的疫情在冗杂的政府机构里蔓延开,多年不治,让执剑之人反而痛失亲人,才更可悲无奈